Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 25. August?
8°C or below 92%
18°C or higher 92%
12°C 28%
13°C 27%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
92%
9°C
12%
10°C
12%
11°C
22%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
2%
17°C
23%
18°C or higher
92%
8°C or below 92%
18°C or higher 92%
12°C 28%
13°C 27%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
92%
9°C
$0 Vol.
12%
10°C
$0 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
23%
18°C or higher
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$20Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds between 18°C or higher and 8°C or below for Munich's lowest temperature on August 25 because ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS show wide spread in the arrival and depth of an Atlantic trough. Persistent high pressure has held recent overnight lows in the mid-teens Celsius, yet incoming cooler maritime air and variable cloud cover could enhance radiational cooling or limit it through increased mixing. Model runs differ on boundary-layer stability and dew-point depression, key drivers of minimum temperatures in late-summer Bavaria, with resolution likely improving as 48-hour guidance updates arrive.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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