Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 20. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 20. August?
16°C 52%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
27%
16°C
30%
17°C
25%
18°C
10%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 52%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$6 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$4 Vol.
7%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C oder höher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$75Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$75Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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