Recent ensemble model runs show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris, with high-pressure dominance supporting clear skies and light winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly flow might hold the minimum near or above 20°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11°C, but current GFS and ECMWF guidance cluster around 13–15°C, highlighting sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh these variables equally, as small changes in dew points or nocturnal cloud trends can shift the outcome across the key thresholds before official Météo-France observations finalize the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 26. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 26. September?
10°C oder darunter 70%
11°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
10°C oder darunter
70%
11°C
38%
12°C
19%
13°C
23%
14°C
23%
15°C
18%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C oder höher
1%
10°C oder darunter 70%
11°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
NEU
NEU
26. Sep. 2026
10°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
70%
11°C
$0 Vol.
38%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris, with high-pressure dominance supporting clear skies and light winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly flow might hold the minimum near or above 20°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11°C, but current GFS and ECMWF guidance cluster around 13–15°C, highlighting sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh these variables equally, as small changes in dew points or nocturnal cloud trends can shift the outcome across the key thresholds before official Météo-France observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble model runs show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris, with high-pressure dominance supporting clear skies and light winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly flow might hold the minimum near or above 20°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11°C, but current GFS and ECMWF guidance cluster around 13–15°C, highlighting sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh these variables equally, as small changes in dew points or nocturnal cloud trends can shift the outcome across the key thresholds before official Météo-France observations finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
26. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent ensemble model runs show moderate uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris, with high-pressure dominance supporting clear skies and light winds that could allow temperatures to dip toward 10°C or below, while any increase in cloud cover or southerly flow might hold the minimum near or above 20°C. Historical September climatology places the average low near 11°C, but current GFS and ECMWF guidance cluster around 13–15°C, highlighting sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts in the final 48 hours. Traders appear to weigh these variables equally, as small changes in dew points or nocturnal cloud trends can shift the outcome across the key thresholds before official Météo-France observations finalize the result.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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