Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS point to overnight minimum temperatures in Paris on September 24 falling between 11°C and 13°C under high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. These stable atmospheric patterns limit radiative cooling variability while keeping values near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.8°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 11–13°C reflect model spread in the exact timing of the diurnal minimum and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 24. September?
10°C 36%
15°C 36%
14°C 19%
13°C 15%
9°C oder weniger
7%
10°C
36%
11°C
20%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C oder höher
2%
10°C 36%
15°C 36%
14°C 19%
13°C 15%
9°C oder weniger
7%
10°C
36%
11°C
20%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS point to overnight minimum temperatures in Paris on September 24 falling between 11°C and 13°C under high-pressure conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds. These stable atmospheric patterns limit radiative cooling variability while keeping values near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 10.8°C. Market-implied odds clustered around 11–13°C reflect model spread in the exact timing of the diurnal minimum and minor differences in boundary-layer moisture. Updated runs from Météo-France and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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