Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 23. Juni?
19°C 100.0%
16 °C oder niedriger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,357 Vol.
$32,357 Vol.
16 °C oder niedriger
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
16 °C oder niedriger <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,357 Vol.
$32,357 Vol.
16 °C oder niedriger
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently favors overnight lows of 18–20 °C in Seoul on 23 June, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those buckets. Radiative cooling under partly clear skies, light winds, and modest humidity levels support minima near the seasonal average of roughly 18–19 °C, while any increase in cloud cover or southwesterly flow could limit the drop. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and KMA morning-low definitions most heavily, with resolution tied to the official Incheon station reading. Fresh model runs and the next KMA short-range update remain the clearest near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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