Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Vol.
$21,155 Vol.
24. Mai 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Vol.
$21,155 Vol.
24. Mai 2026
11°C or below
$952 Vol.
No
12°C
$716 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,299 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,388 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,961 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$1,776 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,166 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,101 Vol.
No
19°C
$890 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,613 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$1,293 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$21,155Enddatum
24. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,155Enddatum
24. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen