Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 23. September?
22°C oder weniger 100%
32°C oder höher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
100%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
38%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C oder höher
98%
22°C oder weniger 100%
32°C oder höher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
100%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
38%
31°C
$0 Vol.
38%
32°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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