**Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover from an incoming frontal system drives the closely matched market odds for Toronto's August 23 minimum temperature.** Environment Canada and model guidance indicate a daytime high near 22°C with scattered showers and thunderstorms, transitioning to partly cloudy or clearing conditions overnight that could allow lows to reach 13–14°C under clearer skies or remain near 16–17°C with persistent cloud and humidity. Westerly winds of 15–20 km/h may enhance mixing and limit extreme cooling, while historical late-August baselines show average lows around 17°C. Model spread on timing of clearing creates the balanced probabilities between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, with new forecast updates expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Toronto am 23. August?
10°C or below 80%
20°C or higher 80%
15°C 28%
16°C 27%
10°C or below
80%
11°C
5%
12°C
20%
13°C
21%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C or higher
80%
10°C or below 80%
20°C or higher 80%
15°C 28%
16°C 27%
10°C or below
80%
11°C
5%
12°C
20%
13°C
21%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover from an incoming frontal system drives the closely matched market odds for Toronto's August 23 minimum temperature.** Environment Canada and model guidance indicate a daytime high near 22°C with scattered showers and thunderstorms, transitioning to partly cloudy or clearing conditions overnight that could allow lows to reach 13–14°C under clearer skies or remain near 16–17°C with persistent cloud and humidity. Westerly winds of 15–20 km/h may enhance mixing and limit extreme cooling, while historical late-August baselines show average lows around 17°C. Model spread on timing of clearing creates the balanced probabilities between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, with new forecast updates expected to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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