Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 21. August?
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
3°C <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
88%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 3%
3°C <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
2°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$192 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$121 Vol.
3%
7°C
$138 Vol.
3%
8°C
$300 Vol.
88%
9°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$1,741Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,741Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and international model guidance for Wellington points to a minimum of 8 °C overnight into August 21, driven by a moderating southerly flow that limits radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s typical August climatology features overnight lows of 4–8 °C; the current pattern sits at the milder end because polar air outbreaks earlier in the month have eased and a weak ridge is building. Ensemble spreads show limited downside risk below 7 °C unless winds drop and clear skies develop unexpectedly, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 8 °C while leaving smaller probabilities for 7 °C or 6 °C if forecast adjustments arrive before official daily minimum verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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