**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 23. August?
5°C oder darunter 48%
10°C 29%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
5°C oder darunter
48%
6°C
7%
7°C
11%
8°C
13%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
8%
15°C oder höher
<1%
5°C oder darunter 48%
10°C 29%
11°C 23%
13°C 19%
5°C oder darunter
48%
6°C
7%
7°C
11%
8°C
13%
9°C
7%
10°C
29%
11°C
23%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
8%
15°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Wellington on August 23 indicate overnight lows potentially reaching 5–8°C amid a southerly wind shift and clearing skies following northwest flows and rain on the 22nd.** Multiple models show early-morning temperatures dropping to 5–6°C under reduced cloud cover and lighter winds, while persistent marine influence or delayed clearing could hold minima near 8–10°C. This uncertainty in radiational cooling, exact frontal timing, and local topography drives the dispersed market odds, with 5°C or below leading at 31% implied probability as traders weigh the latest ECMWF and GFS runs against typical late-winter baselines of 7–9°C. Updated official guidance from MetService or NHC-equivalent agencies ahead of resolution will likely refine these ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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