**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 30. August?
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 Vol.
$3,119 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
23°C 99.5%
21°C 1.0%
15°C oder darunter <1%
16°C <1%
$3,119 Vol.
$3,119 Vol.
15°C oder darunter
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Ja
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Consensus weather forecasts position 23°C as the dominant outcome for Zhengzhou’s August 30 minimum.** Multiple models, including those reflected in WeatherBug and Yr.no projections, indicate an overnight low near 23°C (73°F) under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with recent stabilization after the August 29 minimum of 20.5–21°C, as subtropical high pressure maintains mild conditions without strong frontal passages or significant precipitation. Traders have concentrated 90% implied probability on 23°C, with only 9.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight agreement across forecast ensembles and the absence of data shifts that would support lower thresholds. Resolution depends on official station readings, with any late-day updates to model runs serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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