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icon for Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

icon for Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Okt. 1

Okt. 31

Okt. 1

Okt. 31

16. Oktober 47%

13. Oktober 30%

24. Oktober 25%

18. Oktober 24%

Polymarket
NEU

16. Oktober 47%

13. Oktober 30%

24. Oktober 25%

18. Oktober 24%

Polymarket
NEU

Am oder vor dem 1. Oktober

$42 Vol.

13%

2. Oktober

$39 Vol.

1%

3. Oktober

$42 Vol.

5%

4. Oktober

$42 Vol.

5%

5. Oktober

$39 Vol.

1%

6. Oktober

$42 Vol.

10%

7. Oktober

$42 Vol.

21%

8. Oktober

$42 Vol.

13%

9. Oktober

$39 Vol.

1%

10. Oktober

$42 Vol.

10%

11. Oktober

$42 Vol.

7%

12. Oktober

$42 Vol.

23%

13. Oktober

$42 Vol.

30%

14. Oktober

$42 Vol.

12%

15. Oktober

$42 Vol.

12%

16. Oktober

$42 Vol.

47%

17. Oktober

$42 Vol.

10%

18. Oktober

$42 Vol.

24%

19. Oktober

$42 Vol.

24%

20. Oktober

$42 Vol.

24%

21. Oktober

$45 Vol.

8%

22. Oktober

$42 Vol.

11%

23. Oktober

$42 Vol.

12%

24. Oktober

$42 Vol.

25%

25. Oktober

$42 Vol.

12%

26. Oktober

$42 Vol.

9%

27. Oktober

$42 Vol.

1%

28. Oktober

$42 Vol.

5%

29. Oktober

$42 Vol.

14%

30. Oktober

$42 Vol.

9%

31. Oktober

$42 Vol.

9%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Oktober

$47 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,343
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,343
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 32 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „13. Oktober" mit 30%, gefolgt von „16. Oktober" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 30¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 32 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist „13. Oktober" mit 30%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „16. Oktober" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.