Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert16. Oktober 47%
13. Oktober 30%
24. Oktober 25%
18. Oktober 24%
Am oder vor dem 1. Oktober
13%
2. Oktober
1%
3. Oktober
5%
4. Oktober
5%
5. Oktober
1%
6. Oktober
10%
7. Oktober
21%
8. Oktober
13%
9. Oktober
1%
10. Oktober
10%
11. Oktober
7%
12. Oktober
23%
13. Oktober
30%
14. Oktober
12%
15. Oktober
12%
16. Oktober
47%
17. Oktober
10%
18. Oktober
24%
19. Oktober
24%
20. Oktober
24%
21. Oktober
8%
22. Oktober
11%
23. Oktober
12%
24. Oktober
25%
25. Oktober
12%
26. Oktober
9%
27. Oktober
1%
28. Oktober
5%
29. Oktober
14%
30. Oktober
9%
31. Oktober
9%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Oktober
14%
16. Oktober 47%
13. Oktober 30%
24. Oktober 25%
18. Oktober 24%
Am oder vor dem 1. Oktober
13%
2. Oktober
1%
3. Oktober
5%
4. Oktober
5%
5. Oktober
1%
6. Oktober
10%
7. Oktober
21%
8. Oktober
13%
9. Oktober
1%
10. Oktober
10%
11. Oktober
7%
12. Oktober
23%
13. Oktober
30%
14. Oktober
12%
15. Oktober
12%
16. Oktober
47%
17. Oktober
10%
18. Oktober
24%
19. Oktober
24%
20. Oktober
24%
21. Oktober
8%
22. Oktober
11%
23. Oktober
12%
24. Oktober
25%
25. Oktober
12%
26. Oktober
9%
27. Oktober
1%
28. Oktober
5%
29. Oktober
14%
30. Oktober
9%
31. Oktober
9%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Oktober
14%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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