**Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10.** Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with her 64.1% victory in 2024 and the district’s consistent rightward shift in recent cycles. Republican primary voters advanced Malliotakis without opposition, while Democrats will select their nominee on June 23, 2026, from a field led by Michael DeCillis. A state-court challenge to the district’s boundaries on minority-vote dilution grounds reached the U.S. Supreme Court, which issued a stay preserving the current map for the 2026 cycle. This legal outcome removed a major source of uncertainty that could have altered the district’s composition. Combined with the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages and the absence of competitive Republican opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent a significant shift in national conditions or turnout patterns before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-11 Wahlsieger
NY-11 Wahlsieger
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
87%
Demokratische Partei
11%
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,160 Vol.
87%
Demokratische Partei
$6,532 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10.** Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with her 64.1% victory in 2024 and the district’s consistent rightward shift in recent cycles. Republican primary voters advanced Malliotakis without opposition, while Democrats will select their nominee on June 23, 2026, from a field led by Michael DeCillis.
A state-court challenge to the district’s boundaries on minority-vote dilution grounds reached the U.S. Supreme Court, which issued a stay preserving the current map for the 2026 cycle. This legal outcome removed a major source of uncertainty that could have altered the district’s composition. Combined with the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages and the absence of competitive Republican opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent a significant shift in national conditions or turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$14,692Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10.** Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with her 64.1% victory in 2024 and the district’s consistent rightward shift in recent cycles. Republican primary voters advanced Malliotakis without opposition, while Democrats will select their nominee on June 23, 2026, from a field led by Michael DeCillis.
A state-court challenge to the district’s boundaries on minority-vote dilution grounds reached the U.S. Supreme Court, which issued a stay preserving the current map for the 2026 cycle. This legal outcome removed a major source of uncertainty that could have altered the district’s composition. Combined with the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages and the absence of competitive Republican opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent a significant shift in national conditions or turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,692Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District, which encompasses Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10.** Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with her 64.1% victory in 2024 and the district’s consistent rightward shift in recent cycles. Republican primary voters advanced Malliotakis without opposition, while Democrats will select their nominee on June 23, 2026, from a field led by Michael DeCillis. A state-court challenge to the district’s boundaries on minority-vote dilution grounds reached the U.S. Supreme Court, which issued a stay preserving the current map for the 2026 cycle. This legal outcome removed a major source of uncertainty that could have altered the district’s composition. Combined with the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages and the absence of competitive Republican opposition, these factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86.5% implied probability. The Democratic nominee’s path remains narrow absent a significant shift in national conditions or turnout patterns before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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