Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead banker anchor trader expectations around a modest $2–3 billion outcome, consistent with its $2.2 billion May 2025 private valuation. Strong user growth above 180 million athletes, profitability, and acquisitions such as Runna have improved monetization prospects via subscriptions, yet uncertainty over 2026 IPO market conditions, free-to-paid conversion rates, and competition from other consumer health apps keeps probabilities spread across lower and higher brackets. Key swing factors include the timing of a public S-1, revenue trajectory toward $500 million ARR, and broader tech-listing sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2–3 Mrd. 33%
<2 Mrd. 20%
4–5 Mrd. 20%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 9%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<2 Mrd.
20%
2–3 Mrd.
34%
3–4 Mrd.
8%
4–5 Mrd.
20%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar
5%
7–10 Mrd.
1%
10–15 Mrd. $
6%
15 Mrd.+
3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
9%
2–3 Mrd. 33%
<2 Mrd. 20%
4–5 Mrd. 20%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028 9%
$86,371 Vol.
$86,371 Vol.
31. Dez. 2027
<2 Mrd.
$812 Vol.
20%
2–3 Mrd.
$54,169 Vol.
34%
3–4 Mrd.
$25,125 Vol.
8%
4–5 Mrd.
$1,113 Vol.
20%
5–7 Mrd. US-Dollar
$847 Vol.
5%
7–10 Mrd.
$944 Vol.
1%
10–15 Mrd. $
$1,557 Vol.
6%
15 Mrd.+
$1,240 Vol.
3%
Kein Börsengang vor 2028
$563 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead banker anchor trader expectations around a modest $2–3 billion outcome, consistent with its $2.2 billion May 2025 private valuation. Strong user growth above 180 million athletes, profitability, and acquisitions such as Runna have improved monetization prospects via subscriptions, yet uncertainty over 2026 IPO market conditions, free-to-paid conversion rates, and competition from other consumer health apps keeps probabilities spread across lower and higher brackets. Key swing factors include the timing of a public S-1, revenue trajectory toward $500 million ARR, and broader tech-listing sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$86,371Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead banker anchor trader expectations around a modest $2–3 billion outcome, consistent with its $2.2 billion May 2025 private valuation. Strong user growth above 180 million athletes, profitability, and acquisitions such as Runna have improved monetization prospects via subscriptions, yet uncertainty over 2026 IPO market conditions, free-to-paid conversion rates, and competition from other consumer health apps keeps probabilities spread across lower and higher brackets. Key swing factors include the timing of a public S-1, revenue trajectory toward $500 million ARR, and broader tech-listing sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$86,371Enddatum
31. Dez. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential IPO filing in January 2026 and hiring of Goldman Sachs as lead banker anchor trader expectations around a modest $2–3 billion outcome, consistent with its $2.2 billion May 2025 private valuation. Strong user growth above 180 million athletes, profitability, and acquisitions such as Runna have improved monetization prospects via subscriptions, yet uncertainty over 2026 IPO market conditions, free-to-paid conversion rates, and competition from other consumer health apps keeps probabilities spread across lower and higher brackets. Key swing factors include the timing of a public S-1, revenue trajectory toward $500 million ARR, and broader tech-listing sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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