Israeli President Isaac Herzog has signaled he will not act on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s November 2025 pardon request for ongoing corruption charges until mediation efforts toward a plea deal are exhausted, a stance reaffirmed in April 2026 statements and subsequent procedural steps. The Justice Ministry’s pardons department has expressed reservations about authority and precedent for terminating an active trial without conviction or remorse, while external pressure from U.S. President Trump has not altered the formal review timeline. With the June 30 cutoff only weeks away and no scheduled resolution or breakthrough in negotiations reported, traders assign a 94.3% probability to “No,” reflecting the deliberate pace of Israel’s clemency process and Herzog’s preference for negotiated settlement over immediate executive action.