Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including 2026 airstrikes near the former Tehran embassy compound and a fragile June memorandum of understanding amid nuclear and proxy tensions, sustain the absence of diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to manage US interests through its protecting power section, while the former embassy site operates as an anti-American museum. Recent mediated talks in Oman and Pakistan produced ceasefires and proposals but no normalization steps or embassy restoration. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening in 2026, reflecting entrenched sanctions, security barriers, and the need for comprehensive bilateral agreements. Late-year diplomatic breakthroughs or major de-escalation could still shift this assessment before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWerden die USA 2026 ihre Botschaft im Iran wiedereröffnen?
Werden die USA 2026 ihre Botschaft im Iran wiedereröffnen?
Ja
5% Chance
$158,402 Vol.
$158,402 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
5% Chance
$158,402 Vol.
$158,402 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including 2026 airstrikes near the former Tehran embassy compound and a fragile June memorandum of understanding amid nuclear and proxy tensions, sustain the absence of diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to manage US interests through its protecting power section, while the former embassy site operates as an anti-American museum. Recent mediated talks in Oman and Pakistan produced ceasefires and proposals but no normalization steps or embassy restoration. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening in 2026, reflecting entrenched sanctions, security barriers, and the need for comprehensive bilateral agreements. Late-year diplomatic breakthroughs or major de-escalation could still shift this assessment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$158,402Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including 2026 airstrikes near the former Tehran embassy compound and a fragile June memorandum of understanding amid nuclear and proxy tensions, sustain the absence of diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to manage US interests through its protecting power section, while the former embassy site operates as an anti-American museum. Recent mediated talks in Oman and Pakistan produced ceasefires and proposals but no normalization steps or embassy restoration. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening in 2026, reflecting entrenched sanctions, security barriers, and the need for comprehensive bilateral agreements. Late-year diplomatic breakthroughs or major de-escalation could still shift this assessment before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$158,402Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including 2026 airstrikes near the former Tehran embassy compound and a fragile June memorandum of understanding amid nuclear and proxy tensions, sustain the absence of diplomatic relations severed since 1980. Switzerland continues to manage US interests through its protecting power section, while the former embassy site operates as an anti-American museum. Recent mediated talks in Oman and Pakistan produced ceasefires and proposals but no normalization steps or embassy restoration. Traders assign 95.5% probability to no reopening in 2026, reflecting entrenched sanctions, security barriers, and the need for comprehensive bilateral agreements. Late-year diplomatic breakthroughs or major de-escalation could still shift this assessment before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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