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icon for Wird Trump Wahlen verstaatlichen?

Wird Trump Wahlen verstaatlichen?

icon for Wird Trump Wahlen verstaatlichen?

Wird Trump Wahlen verstaatlichen?

Ja

11% Chance
Polymarket

$18,999 Vol.

Ja

11% Chance
Polymarket

$18,999 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's February 2026 comments calling for Republicans to “nationalize the voting” or take over administration in select states, paired with reports of draft executive orders on voter registration, mail ballots, and ID rules, briefly raised the prospect of expanded federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms. Legal analyses and court rulings have since clarified the limits: the Constitution assigns primary authority over election timing, place, and manner to the states, with Congress holding narrow override power; multiple federal judges blocked related March 2026 orders as exceeding presidential authority, consistent with earlier 2025 litigation. State officials have resisted implementation, and no legislation or successful emergency action has altered the decentralized system. These structural and judicial barriers underpin the strong trader consensus against nationalization occurring.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$18,999
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting. Trump's February 2026 comments calling for Republicans to “nationalize the voting” or take over administration in select states, paired with reports of draft executive orders on voter registration, mail ballots, and ID rules, briefly raised the prospect of expanded federal oversight ahead of the 2026 midterms. Legal analyses and court rulings have since clarified the limits: the Constitution assigns primary authority over election timing, place, and manner to the states, with Congress holding narrow override power; multiple federal judges blocked related March 2026 orders as exceeding presidential authority, consistent with earlier 2025 litigation. State officials have resisted implementation, and no legislation or successful emergency action has altered the decentralized system. These structural and judicial barriers underpin the strong trader consensus against nationalization occurring.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$18,999
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Trump Wahlen verstaatlichen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Trump die Wahlen nationalisieren?" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 11¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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