The 45th Canadian Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney following 2025 general election results and subsequent by-election gains in April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled vote for October 2029, and majority status removes any immediate procedural pressure from confidence votes or supply bills that could trigger dissolution. With roughly two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and Elections Canada requiring a minimum 37-day campaign period after a writ drop, traders see negligible scope for a snap election call. A sudden parliamentary defeat or unforeseen crisis could still force reconsideration, though both remain remote given current seat distribution and institutional timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$85,001 Vol.
$85,001 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$85,001 Vol.
$85,001 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 45th Canadian Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney following 2025 general election results and subsequent by-election gains in April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled vote for October 2029, and majority status removes any immediate procedural pressure from confidence votes or supply bills that could trigger dissolution. With roughly two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and Elections Canada requiring a minimum 37-day campaign period after a writ drop, traders see negligible scope for a snap election call. A sudden parliamentary defeat or unforeseen crisis could still force reconsideration, though both remain remote given current seat distribution and institutional timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ET
Volumen
$85,001Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 45th Canadian Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney following 2025 general election results and subsequent by-election gains in April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled vote for October 2029, and majority status removes any immediate procedural pressure from confidence votes or supply bills that could trigger dissolution. With roughly two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and Elections Canada requiring a minimum 37-day campaign period after a writ drop, traders see negligible scope for a snap election call. A sudden parliamentary defeat or unforeseen crisis could still force reconsideration, though both remain remote given current seat distribution and institutional timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$85,001Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 45th Canadian Parliament operates under a Liberal majority government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney following 2025 general election results and subsequent by-election gains in April 2026. Fixed-date legislation sets the next scheduled vote for October 2029, and majority status removes any immediate procedural pressure from confidence votes or supply bills that could trigger dissolution. With roughly two weeks remaining until the June 30 cutoff and Elections Canada requiring a minimum 37-day campaign period after a writ drop, traders see negligible scope for a snap election call. A sudden parliamentary defeat or unforeseen crisis could still force reconsideration, though both remain remote given current seat distribution and institutional timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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