Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas underpins the market’s strong consensus for a GOP victory. Cotton secured his party’s nomination with minimal opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from a low-turnout contest against a lesser-known opponent. Arkansas’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Cotton’s established Senate profile and fundraising edge, have kept Democratic prospects limited ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected health event could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
$11,181 Vol.
$11,181 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
94%
Demócrata
3%
$11,181 Vol.
$11,181 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,127 Vol.
94%
Demócrata
$3,054 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas underpins the market’s strong consensus for a GOP victory. Cotton secured his party’s nomination with minimal opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from a low-turnout contest against a lesser-known opponent. Arkansas’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Cotton’s established Senate profile and fundraising edge, have kept Democratic prospects limited ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected health event could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$11,181Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas underpins the market’s strong consensus for a GOP victory. Cotton secured his party’s nomination with minimal opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from a low-turnout contest against a lesser-known opponent. Arkansas’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Cotton’s established Senate profile and fundraising edge, have kept Democratic prospects limited ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected health event could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$11,181Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in the solidly Republican state of Arkansas underpins the market’s strong consensus for a GOP victory. Cotton secured his party’s nomination with minimal opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from a low-turnout contest against a lesser-known opponent. Arkansas’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Cotton’s established Senate profile and fundraising edge, have kept Democratic prospects limited ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected health event could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes