Wyoming's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, anchors trader consensus on a GOP win at 94.5%. The open seat created by Cynthia Lummis's retirement has attracted established Republican primary candidates, notably U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman backed by former President Trump and Lummis, while Democratic contenders like Billy Benavidez and James Byrd remain low-profile with limited resources ahead of the August 18 primaries. Forecasters rate the November general election Solid or Safe Republican based on the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. A major scandal, nominee health issue, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though the low-population, reliably red electorate presents significant structural barriers to any shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Wyoming
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Wyoming
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
6%
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$6,951 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$3,569 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, anchors trader consensus on a GOP win at 94.5%. The open seat created by Cynthia Lummis's retirement has attracted established Republican primary candidates, notably U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman backed by former President Trump and Lummis, while Democratic contenders like Billy Benavidez and James Byrd remain low-profile with limited resources ahead of the August 18 primaries. Forecasters rate the November general election Solid or Safe Republican based on the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. A major scandal, nominee health issue, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though the low-population, reliably red electorate presents significant structural barriers to any shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$10,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, anchors trader consensus on a GOP win at 94.5%. The open seat created by Cynthia Lummis's retirement has attracted established Republican primary candidates, notably U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman backed by former President Trump and Lummis, while Democratic contenders like Billy Benavidez and James Byrd remain low-profile with limited resources ahead of the August 18 primaries. Forecasters rate the November general election Solid or Safe Republican based on the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. A major scandal, nominee health issue, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though the low-population, reliably red electorate presents significant structural barriers to any shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$10,519Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, anchors trader consensus on a GOP win at 94.5%. The open seat created by Cynthia Lummis's retirement has attracted established Republican primary candidates, notably U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman backed by former President Trump and Lummis, while Democratic contenders like Billy Benavidez and James Byrd remain low-profile with limited resources ahead of the August 18 primaries. Forecasters rate the November general election Solid or Safe Republican based on the state's partisan composition and turnout patterns. A major scandal, nominee health issue, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though the low-population, reliably red electorate presents significant structural barriers to any shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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