Polymarket traders price a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at a dominant 97.5% implied probability for the April 24, 2026, meeting, reflecting the central bank's easing cycle after seven straight 50 basis point cuts, most recently to 15% on March 20 amid disinflation—annual CPI eased to 5.9% in March from 5.91% prior, with household inflation expectations dropping to 12.9% in April. Protracted price slowdown and balanced labor market dynamics underpin this consensus for likely further monetary policy accommodation to support growth. Realistic challenges include upside inflation risks from geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, potentially prompting a no-change stance if seasonally adjusted annualized rates accelerate as seen in early 2026.