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Política·Cabo Verde

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde

icon for Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde
Política·Cabo Verde

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde

José Maria Neves 71%

Casimiro de Pina 12%

Janine Lélis 10%

Joana Rosa 7.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

José Maria Neves 71%

Casimiro de Pina 12%

Janine Lélis 10%

Joana Rosa 7.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for José Maria Neves

José Maria Neves

$2,827 Vol.

71%

icon for Casimiro de Pina

Casimiro de Pina

$394 Vol.

12%

icon for Janine Lélis

Janine Lélis

$611 Vol.

13%

icon for Joana Rosa

Joana Rosa

$485 Vol.

15%

icon for Péricles Tavares

Péricles Tavares

$386 Vol.

7%

icon for Milton Paiva

Milton Paiva

$394 Vol.

3%

icon for Fernando Delgado

Fernando Delgado

$355 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent president from the PAICV party, holds a clear lead in trader positioning for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verdean presidential election, reflecting his 2021 first-round victory and the PAICV's parliamentary win in May 2026. This outcome follows the party's shift to a stronger legislative position under prime minister-designate Francisco Carvalho, creating cohabitation dynamics with the prior MpD government. Declared MpD challengers Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis trail as the main opposition figures, with other listed candidates remaining at minimal levels amid limited declarations or polling visibility. Recent months have seen no major scandals, candidate shifts, or diplomatic events altering the baseline, leaving structural advantages like incumbency and recent electoral momentum as the dominant drivers of current market consensus.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volumen
$5,451
Fecha de finalización
15 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent president from the PAICV party, holds a clear lead in trader positioning for the November 15, 2026, Cape Verdean presidential election, reflecting his 2021 first-round victory and the PAICV's parliamentary win in May 2026. This outcome follows the party's shift to a stronger legislative position under prime minister-designate Francisco Carvalho, creating cohabitation dynamics with the prior MpD government. Declared MpD challengers Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis trail as the main opposition figures, with other listed candidates remaining at minimal levels amid limited declarations or polling visibility. Recent months have seen no major scandals, candidate shifts, or diplomatic events altering the baseline, leaving structural advantages like incumbency and recent electoral momentum as the dominant drivers of current market consensus.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volumen
$5,451
Fecha de finalización
15 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "José Maria Neves" con 71%, seguido de "Joana Rosa" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde" es "José Maria Neves" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Joana Rosa" con 15%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Cabo Verde" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.