Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Colima governor election market ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the designated coordinator for Morena, PT, and PVEM's "Defense of the Transformation" effort. The late-August 2026 selection by the party's national elections commission followed her request for leave from the Manzanillo mayoralty and built on her prior roles as federal deputy, state economic development secretary, and DIF director under term-limited incumbent Indira Vizcaíno Silva. Colima's recent Morena dominance and the coalition's structural advantages in candidate selection have concentrated support around her profile. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez and others trail significantly, with probabilities below 8%, as internal party processes and early positioning remain the dominant factors shaping current odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 7.8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 5.0%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.6%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
5%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

María Cristina Lupien
3%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

Joel Padilla Peña
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 7.8%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 5.0%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.6%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
5%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

María Cristina Lupien
3%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

Joel Padilla Peña
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
<1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Colima governor election market ahead of the June 6, 2027 vote, reflecting trader consensus on her position as the designated coordinator for Morena, PT, and PVEM's "Defense of the Transformation" effort. The late-August 2026 selection by the party's national elections commission followed her request for leave from the Manzanillo mayoralty and built on her prior roles as federal deputy, state economic development secretary, and DIF director under term-limited incumbent Indira Vizcaíno Silva. Colima's recent Morena dominance and the coalition's structural advantages in candidate selection have concentrated support around her profile. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez and others trail significantly, with probabilities below 8%, as internal party processes and early positioning remain the dominant factors shaping current odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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