Recent FBI search warrants executed on August 20 seized electronic devices from former Rep. Eric Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searched his Washington home as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 into sexual assault allegations. These actions followed his April resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California governor’s race amid public accusations from multiple women, plus parallel state-level inquiries in New York and Los Angeles. No charges or arrest warrants have been filed, and Swalwell was released after the brief device seizure. Federal investigations of this type typically require weeks or months to analyze seized materials and determine whether to proceed, consistent with historical timelines in comparable public corruption or misconduct cases. Trader consensus favoring “No” by September 30 aligns with the absence of imminent charging decisions or enforcement signals in the short window remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
21% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
Sí
21% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 sep 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FBI search warrants executed on August 20 seized electronic devices from former Rep. Eric Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searched his Washington home as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 into sexual assault allegations. These actions followed his April resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California governor’s race amid public accusations from multiple women, plus parallel state-level inquiries in New York and Los Angeles. No charges or arrest warrants have been filed, and Swalwell was released after the brief device seizure. Federal investigations of this type typically require weeks or months to analyze seized materials and determine whether to proceed, consistent with historical timelines in comparable public corruption or misconduct cases. Trader consensus favoring “No” by September 30 aligns with the absence of imminent charging decisions or enforcement signals in the short window remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Volumen
$22Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent FBI search warrants executed on August 20 seized electronic devices from former Rep. Eric Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searched his Washington home as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 into sexual assault allegations. These actions followed his April resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California governor’s race amid public accusations from multiple women, plus parallel state-level inquiries in New York and Los Angeles. No charges or arrest warrants have been filed, and Swalwell was released after the brief device seizure. Federal investigations of this type typically require weeks or months to analyze seized materials and determine whether to proceed, consistent with historical timelines in comparable public corruption or misconduct cases. Trader consensus favoring “No” by September 30 aligns with the absence of imminent charging decisions or enforcement signals in the short window remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$22Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent FBI search warrants executed on August 20 seized electronic devices from former Rep. Eric Swalwell at San Francisco International Airport and searched his Washington home as part of a federal civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242 into sexual assault allegations. These actions followed his April resignation from Congress and withdrawal from the California governor’s race amid public accusations from multiple women, plus parallel state-level inquiries in New York and Los Angeles. No charges or arrest warrants have been filed, and Swalwell was released after the brief device seizure. Federal investigations of this type typically require weeks or months to analyze seized materials and determine whether to proceed, consistent with historical timelines in comparable public corruption or misconduct cases. Trader consensus favoring “No” by September 30 aligns with the absence of imminent charging decisions or enforcement signals in the short window remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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