Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a moderate high near 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating in the region's continental climate. Model consensus, including ECMWF and local runs, shows maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 11–12°C, suppressing further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C, as recent observations confirm a cooling trend from earlier August peaks amid stable high pressure and no significant southerly advection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble outputs, with minor upside risk if skies clear more than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 30 de agosto?
25°C 55%
26°C 22%
24°C 15%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C
55%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 22%
24°C 15%
27°C 4%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C
55%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a moderate high near 24–26°C for Ankara on August 30, driven primarily by persistent northerly winds and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating in the region's continental climate. Model consensus, including ECMWF and local runs, shows maximum temperatures peaking in the mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 11–12°C, suppressing further warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C, as recent observations confirm a cooling trend from earlier August peaks amid stable high pressure and no significant southerly advection. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread across ensemble outputs, with minor upside risk if skies clear more than expected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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