Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Ankara today, with 74.5% implied probability, driven by official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a peak near 28°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds. Recent cooling from September 7–8 (highs near 23–24°C) has given way to gradual warming, yet persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover limit further gains. International guidance from sources like the Met Office and European models aligns closely around 26–28°C, with low odds for 29°C or higher reflecting limited diurnal heating potential and historical September baselines. New surface observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 9 de septiembre?
27°C 76%
26°C 17%
28°C 9%
29°C <1%
$15,738 Vol.
$15,738 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
17%
27°C
76%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 76%
26°C 17%
28°C 9%
29°C <1%
$15,738 Vol.
$15,738 Vol.
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
17%
27°C
76%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C high in Ankara today, with 74.5% implied probability, driven by official Turkish Meteorological Service forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a peak near 28°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions and light northeasterly winds. Recent cooling from September 7–8 (highs near 23–24°C) has given way to gradual warming, yet persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover limit further gains. International guidance from sources like the Met Office and European models aligns closely around 26–28°C, with low odds for 29°C or higher reflecting limited diurnal heating potential and historical September baselines. New surface observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes