Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79–81°F for Chicago on August 25 under high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's concentration on the 78–81°F bins. Partly cloudy skies will permit moderate daytime heating while Lake Michigan's influence and light winds limit further warming, consistent with late-August climatology. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no heat advection or clearing trends that would push readings into the low-to-mid 80s. The primary catalyst remains the stable synoptic pattern, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these narrow ranges ahead of potential model updates on the morning of the 25th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 25 de agosto?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$100 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$183 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$90 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$375 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$92 Vol.
15%
84-85°F
$199 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$90 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
1%
90°F o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79–81°F for Chicago on August 25 under high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's concentration on the 78–81°F bins. Partly cloudy skies will permit moderate daytime heating while Lake Michigan's influence and light winds limit further warming, consistent with late-August climatology. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no heat advection or clearing trends that would push readings into the low-to-mid 80s. The primary catalyst remains the stable synoptic pattern, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these narrow ranges ahead of potential model updates on the morning of the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,249Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79–81°F for Chicago on August 25 under high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's concentration on the 78–81°F bins. Partly cloudy skies will permit moderate daytime heating while Lake Michigan's influence and light winds limit further warming, consistent with late-August climatology. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no heat advection or clearing trends that would push readings into the low-to-mid 80s. The primary catalyst remains the stable synoptic pattern, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these narrow ranges ahead of potential model updates on the morning of the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,249Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models project a high near 79–81°F for Chicago on August 25 under high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's concentration on the 78–81°F bins. Partly cloudy skies will permit moderate daytime heating while Lake Michigan's influence and light winds limit further warming, consistent with late-August climatology. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no heat advection or clearing trends that would push readings into the low-to-mid 80s. The primary catalyst remains the stable synoptic pattern, keeping implied probabilities anchored to these narrow ranges ahead of potential model updates on the morning of the 25th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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