**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high temperature near 80°F as the most likely outcome for Chicago on August 27, driving the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin.** A northwest wind shift following Wednesday's activity favors clearing skies and limited mixing, keeping daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-70s to low-80s across official guidance, with some ensemble members showing slight warming potential. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 81°F while reflecting the current cooler airmass. Private forecasts vary more widely (77–83°F), contributing to secondary support for the 78-79°F and 82-83°F ranges, but NWS consensus remains the dominant factor. Updated model runs and the final daily climate summary will provide the last data before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 27 de agosto?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
57%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F o menos
$36 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$87 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$52 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$244 Vol.
57%
82-83°F
$179 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$111 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
3%
92°F o más
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high temperature near 80°F as the most likely outcome for Chicago on August 27, driving the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin.** A northwest wind shift following Wednesday's activity favors clearing skies and limited mixing, keeping daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-70s to low-80s across official guidance, with some ensemble members showing slight warming potential. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 81°F while reflecting the current cooler airmass. Private forecasts vary more widely (77–83°F), contributing to secondary support for the 78-79°F and 82-83°F ranges, but NWS consensus remains the dominant factor. Updated model runs and the final daily climate summary will provide the last data before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$655Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high temperature near 80°F as the most likely outcome for Chicago on August 27, driving the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin.** A northwest wind shift following Wednesday's activity favors clearing skies and limited mixing, keeping daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-70s to low-80s across official guidance, with some ensemble members showing slight warming potential. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 81°F while reflecting the current cooler airmass. Private forecasts vary more widely (77–83°F), contributing to secondary support for the 78-79°F and 82-83°F ranges, but NWS consensus remains the dominant factor. Updated model runs and the final daily climate summary will provide the last data before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$655Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high temperature near 80°F as the most likely outcome for Chicago on August 27, driving the 56.5% market-implied probability for the 80-81°F bin.** A northwest wind shift following Wednesday's activity favors clearing skies and limited mixing, keeping daytime maxima in the mid- to upper-70s to low-80s across official guidance, with some ensemble members showing slight warming potential. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 81°F while reflecting the current cooler airmass. Private forecasts vary more widely (77–83°F), contributing to secondary support for the 78-79°F and 82-83°F ranges, but NWS consensus remains the dominant factor. Updated model runs and the final daily climate summary will provide the last data before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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