Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 11 de agosto?
96-97°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
87°F o menos
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
41%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o más
<1%
96-97°F 41%
98-99°F 20%
94-95°F 14%
92-93°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
87°F o menos
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$24 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$58 Vol.
41%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
20%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$68 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
106°F o más
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$581Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes