Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall through August 9–10 in Shanghai, which should limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the early-August climatological average of 31–32 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring a peak of 28–30 °C according to the latest runs. These conditions align with the market-implied odds clustering on 28–30 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of suppressed insolation and moisture-laden air masses typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 10 de agosto?
29°C 37%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
37%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
23°C or below
$136 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$12 Vol.
2%
26°C
$144 Vol.
1%
27°C
$390 Vol.
4%
28°C
$388 Vol.
24%
29°C
$313 Vol.
37%
30°C
$240 Vol.
23%
31°C
$616 Vol.
10%
32°C
$406 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$218 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall through August 9–10 in Shanghai, which should limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the early-August climatological average of 31–32 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring a peak of 28–30 °C according to the latest runs. These conditions align with the market-implied odds clustering on 28–30 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of suppressed insolation and moisture-laden air masses typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,989Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall through August 9–10 in Shanghai, which should limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the early-August climatological average of 31–32 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring a peak of 28–30 °C according to the latest runs. These conditions align with the market-implied odds clustering on 28–30 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of suppressed insolation and moisture-laden air masses typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,989Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies indicate overcast skies, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall through August 9–10 in Shanghai, which should limit daytime heating and keep maximum temperatures near or slightly below the early-August climatological average of 31–32 °C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and enhance evaporative cooling, favoring a peak of 28–30 °C according to the latest runs. These conditions align with the market-implied odds clustering on 28–30 °C outcomes, reflecting traders’ assessment of suppressed insolation and moisture-laden air masses typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes