**Trader consensus on a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 9 rests on established climatological patterns and current forecast data.** In Shandong province’s continental monsoon climate, early-to-mid August typically features mean daily maxima near 30–32°C driven by strong solar insolation and southerly flow, with historical August extremes frequently exceeding 35–37°C. Official monitoring and model guidance for the coming day show no significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would suppress readings below seasonal norms. The 99.4% market-implied probability therefore aligns with the narrow uncertainty range around these warm conditions. Only an atypical frontal passage or unseasonably heavy rainfall could realistically pull the daily high below the 26°C threshold, though such developments remain outside the consensus forecast envelope.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 9 de agosto?
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
16°C or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$602 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 9 rests on established climatological patterns and current forecast data.** In Shandong province’s continental monsoon climate, early-to-mid August typically features mean daily maxima near 30–32°C driven by strong solar insolation and southerly flow, with historical August extremes frequently exceeding 35–37°C. Official monitoring and model guidance for the coming day show no significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would suppress readings below seasonal norms. The 99.4% market-implied probability therefore aligns with the narrow uncertainty range around these warm conditions. Only an atypical frontal passage or unseasonably heavy rainfall could realistically pull the daily high below the 26°C threshold, though such developments remain outside the consensus forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,161Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 9 rests on established climatological patterns and current forecast data.** In Shandong province’s continental monsoon climate, early-to-mid August typically features mean daily maxima near 30–32°C driven by strong solar insolation and southerly flow, with historical August extremes frequently exceeding 35–37°C. Official monitoring and model guidance for the coming day show no significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would suppress readings below seasonal norms. The 99.4% market-implied probability therefore aligns with the narrow uncertainty range around these warm conditions. Only an atypical frontal passage or unseasonably heavy rainfall could realistically pull the daily high below the 26°C threshold, though such developments remain outside the consensus forecast envelope.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,161Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 9 rests on established climatological patterns and current forecast data.** In Shandong province’s continental monsoon climate, early-to-mid August typically features mean daily maxima near 30–32°C driven by strong solar insolation and southerly flow, with historical August extremes frequently exceeding 35–37°C. Official monitoring and model guidance for the coming day show no significant cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would suppress readings below seasonal norms. The 99.4% market-implied probability therefore aligns with the narrow uncertainty range around these warm conditions. Only an atypical frontal passage or unseasonably heavy rainfall could realistically pull the daily high below the 26°C threshold, though such developments remain outside the consensus forecast envelope.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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