Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 25?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 25?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,296 Vol.
$20,296 Vol.
25 may 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$20,296 Vol.
$20,296 Vol.
25 may 2026
26°C or below
$381 Vol.
No
27°C
$330 Vol.
No
28°C
$338 Vol.
No
29°C
$439 Vol.
No
30°C
$383 Vol.
No
31°C
$399 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,101 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,240 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,978 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,587 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$2,119 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$20,296Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,296Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models project a daily maximum of 35°C for Karachi on May 25, driven by typical late-May subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit afternoon mixing and cloud development. This aligns with climatological averages near 35–36°C for the period, with no active monsoon surge, sea-breeze moderation, or upper-level disturbance expected to alter the thermal profile. The near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 35°C reflects this consensus, while the 0.1% on 36°C or higher accounts for residual uncertainty in official station readings. Minor deviations could arise from localized measurement timing or brief convective activity, though current guidance shows low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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