Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 28, with most runs centering near 25 °C amid widespread afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the late-summer rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, limit surface heating and produce the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C. The implied 47.5 % probability on 25 °C reflects the strongest model consensus and historical late-August averages near 24 °C, while lower odds on 27 °C or higher acknowledge the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger insolation before resolution tomorrow evening. Updated model runs and official afternoon briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 28 de agosto?
25°C 48%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
48%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 24%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$46 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$142 Vol.
1%
22°C
$236 Vol.
4%
23°C
$257 Vol.
6%
24°C
$395 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,532 Vol.
48%
26°C
$580 Vol.
21%
27°C
$224 Vol.
3%
28°C
$36 Vol.
1%
29°C o más
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 28, with most runs centering near 25 °C amid widespread afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the late-summer rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, limit surface heating and produce the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C. The implied 47.5 % probability on 25 °C reflects the strongest model consensus and historical late-August averages near 24 °C, while lower odds on 27 °C or higher acknowledge the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger insolation before resolution tomorrow evening. Updated model runs and official afternoon briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$3,621Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 28, with most runs centering near 25 °C amid widespread afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the late-summer rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, limit surface heating and produce the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C. The implied 47.5 % probability on 25 °C reflects the strongest model consensus and historical late-August averages near 24 °C, while lower odds on 27 °C or higher acknowledge the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger insolation before resolution tomorrow evening. Updated model runs and official afternoon briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,621Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature of 24–26 °C for Mexico City on August 28, with most runs centering near 25 °C amid widespread afternoon cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions, typical of the late-summer rainy season at 2,240 m elevation, limit surface heating and produce the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C. The implied 47.5 % probability on 25 °C reflects the strongest model consensus and historical late-August averages near 24 °C, while lower odds on 27 °C or higher acknowledge the low likelihood of clearing skies or stronger insolation before resolution tomorrow evening. Updated model runs and official afternoon briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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