Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and regional Italian services, show a consensus maximum near 32–33°C for Milan on September 7 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C implied probability of 44 percent, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept recent daytime highs 6–8°C above the September climatological average of 24–26°C, supporting elevated but not extreme outcomes. Updated model guidance and official bulletins from ARPA Lombardia over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these trader-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 7 de septiembre?
32°C 44%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
28°C o menos
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
44%
33°C
15%
34°C
7%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C o más
2%
32°C 44%
31°C 24%
33°C 15%
29°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$43 Vol.
24%
32°C
$2 Vol.
44%
33°C
$5 Vol.
15%
34°C
$11 Vol.
7%
35°C
$11 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and regional Italian services, show a consensus maximum near 32–33°C for Milan on September 7 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C implied probability of 44 percent, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept recent daytime highs 6–8°C above the September climatological average of 24–26°C, supporting elevated but not extreme outcomes. Updated model guidance and official bulletins from ARPA Lombardia over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$73Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and regional Italian services, show a consensus maximum near 32–33°C for Milan on September 7 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C implied probability of 44 percent, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept recent daytime highs 6–8°C above the September climatological average of 24–26°C, supporting elevated but not extreme outcomes. Updated model guidance and official bulletins from ARPA Lombardia over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$73Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and regional Italian services, show a consensus maximum near 32–33°C for Milan on September 7 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors the market's leading 32°C implied probability of 44 percent, with 31°C and 33°C as close alternatives. Persistent warm advection from the south has kept recent daytime highs 6–8°C above the September climatological average of 24–26°C, supporting elevated but not extreme outcomes. Updated model guidance and official bulletins from ARPA Lombardia over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these trader-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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