Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate Sao Paulo's August 24 maximum will likely settle near 19–21°C amid typical winter high-pressure dominance, with variable cloud cover and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because historical August maxima average 23–25°C but recent patterns show cooler anomalies from persistent marine influence and minimal solar insolation. Model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could tip readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Updated runs from NOAA and regional centers over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 24 de agosto?
20°C 34%
21°C 28%
19°C 22%
22°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
6%
19°C
22%
20°C
34%
21°C
28%
22°C
12%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 34%
21°C 28%
19°C 22%
22°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
6%
19°C
$93 Vol.
22%
20°C
$72 Vol.
34%
21°C
$121 Vol.
28%
22°C
$230 Vol.
12%
23°C
$203 Vol.
7%
24°C
$52 Vol.
5%
25°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate Sao Paulo's August 24 maximum will likely settle near 19–21°C amid typical winter high-pressure dominance, with variable cloud cover and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because historical August maxima average 23–25°C but recent patterns show cooler anomalies from persistent marine influence and minimal solar insolation. Model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could tip readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Updated runs from NOAA and regional centers over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$792Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate Sao Paulo's August 24 maximum will likely settle near 19–21°C amid typical winter high-pressure dominance, with variable cloud cover and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because historical August maxima average 23–25°C but recent patterns show cooler anomalies from persistent marine influence and minimal solar insolation. Model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could tip readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Updated runs from NOAA and regional centers over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$792Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate Sao Paulo's August 24 maximum will likely settle near 19–21°C amid typical winter high-pressure dominance, with variable cloud cover and light easterly winds limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters on these outcomes because historical August maxima average 23–25°C but recent patterns show cooler anomalies from persistent marine influence and minimal solar insolation. Model spread introduces uncertainty around exact peaks, as small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could tip readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for 22°C or higher remain low absent strong subsidence or clear skies. Updated runs from NOAA and regional centers over the next 24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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