Current forecast guidance for São Paulo points to a maximum temperature of 23–25°C on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43%) and 23°C (25.5%). As the city experiences Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs average near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit diurnal warming. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection that would push readings outside this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the climatological norm. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional conditions will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 23 de agosto?
24°C 45%
23°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for São Paulo points to a maximum temperature of 23–25°C on August 23, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 24°C (43%) and 23°C (25.5%). As the city experiences Southern Hemisphere winter, typical August highs average near 23–25°C under stable subtropical high pressure, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover expected to limit diurnal warming. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or heat advection that would push readings outside this narrow band, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the climatological norm. Updated guidance from agencies monitoring regional conditions will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes