Trader consensus around 22°C as the most likely high for São Paulo on August 25 reflects current model guidance from agencies like INMET and international ensembles pointing to stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry winter season. These setups often deliver daily maxima near the August climatological average of 22–23°C, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest diurnal warming. The tight spread between 22°C (33%) and 23°C (25.5%), versus 21°C (17.5%), stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal approaches that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical data show August highs rarely deviate far from this range without stronger synoptic forcing, and short-range model runs through the next 24 hours will likely resolve the final threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 25 de agosto?
22°C 33%
23°C 26%
21°C 18%
19°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
18%
22°C
33%
23°C
26%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
23°C 26%
21°C 18%
19°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
18°C or below
$23 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$180 Vol.
18%
22°C
$43 Vol.
33%
23°C
$170 Vol.
26%
24°C
$249 Vol.
5%
25°C
$35 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$31 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22°C as the most likely high for São Paulo on August 25 reflects current model guidance from agencies like INMET and international ensembles pointing to stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry winter season. These setups often deliver daily maxima near the August climatological average of 22–23°C, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest diurnal warming. The tight spread between 22°C (33%) and 23°C (25.5%), versus 21°C (17.5%), stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal approaches that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical data show August highs rarely deviate far from this range without stronger synoptic forcing, and short-range model runs through the next 24 hours will likely resolve the final threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$731Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 22°C as the most likely high for São Paulo on August 25 reflects current model guidance from agencies like INMET and international ensembles pointing to stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry winter season. These setups often deliver daily maxima near the August climatological average of 22–23°C, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest diurnal warming. The tight spread between 22°C (33%) and 23°C (25.5%), versus 21°C (17.5%), stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal approaches that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical data show August highs rarely deviate far from this range without stronger synoptic forcing, and short-range model runs through the next 24 hours will likely resolve the final threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$731Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 22°C as the most likely high for São Paulo on August 25 reflects current model guidance from agencies like INMET and international ensembles pointing to stable high-pressure conditions typical of the region's dry winter season. These setups often deliver daily maxima near the August climatological average of 22–23°C, with light winds and limited cloud cover allowing modest diurnal warming. The tight spread between 22°C (33%) and 23°C (25.5%), versus 21°C (17.5%), stems from small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal approaches that could cap or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical data show August highs rarely deviate far from this range without stronger synoptic forcing, and short-range model runs through the next 24 hours will likely resolve the final threshold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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