Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a stable high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 24 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low humidity, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C. This reflects typical late-September Mediterranean conditions where seasonal cooling from peak summer has already moderated daytime maxima to near the long-term average of 30–31°C. No incoming heat dome or significant frontal systems appear likely to push temperatures higher, while minimal precipitation risk supports limited variability. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 24 de septiembre?
30°C 57%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
28°C 16%
27°C o menos
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
57%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
16%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C o más
2%
30°C 57%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
28°C 16%
27°C o menos
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
18%
30°C
57%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
16%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate a stable high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 24 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low humidity, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 30°C. This reflects typical late-September Mediterranean conditions where seasonal cooling from peak summer has already moderated daytime maxima to near the long-term average of 30–31°C. No incoming heat dome or significant frontal systems appear likely to push temperatures higher, while minimal precipitation risk supports limited variability. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes