Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 16 de agosto?
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
28%
30°C
36%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$397 Vol.
1%
27°C
$475 Vol.
3%
28°C
$662 Vol.
6%
29°C
$791 Vol.
28%
30°C
$1,068 Vol.
36%
31°C
$1,814 Vol.
20%
32°C
$1,538 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$8,075Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,075Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe on August 16, promoting clear skies, strong daytime solar insolation, and warm southerly advection that supports a Warsaw maximum near 30°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from subtle variations in low-level moisture, boundary-layer mixing depth, and potential thin cirrus that could trim peak temperatures by 1°C or allow brief exceedance of 31°C. With the event less than 24 hours away, updated model runs and surface observations will narrow remaining uncertainty in the thermodynamic profile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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