**Latest official guidance and model consensus point to a southerly wind shift and widespread rain suppressing maximum temperatures in Wellington on September 7.** Persistent El Niño-driven westerlies have recently transitioned, with MetService and international runs showing southeast to southerly flow arriving overnight, limiting daytime warming under thick cloud and precipitation. This setup favors highs of 12–13 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, while reducing the chance of reaching 14 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 12–14 °C provide context, but the immediate synoptic pattern and forecast timing introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 7 de septiembre?
13°C 42%
12°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
5%
12°C
22%
13°C
42%
14°C
22%
15°C
8%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C o más
2%
13°C 42%
12°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$400 Vol.
1%
10°C
$24 Vol.
4%
11°C
$123 Vol.
5%
12°C
$356 Vol.
22%
13°C
$359 Vol.
42%
14°C
$461 Vol.
22%
15°C
$191 Vol.
8%
16°C
$88 Vol.
4%
17°C
$70 Vol.
4%
18°C
$35 Vol.
2%
19°C o más
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance and model consensus point to a southerly wind shift and widespread rain suppressing maximum temperatures in Wellington on September 7.**
Persistent El Niño-driven westerlies have recently transitioned, with MetService and international runs showing southeast to southerly flow arriving overnight, limiting daytime warming under thick cloud and precipitation. This setup favors highs of 12–13 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, while reducing the chance of reaching 14 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 12–14 °C provide context, but the immediate synoptic pattern and forecast timing introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,127Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance and model consensus point to a southerly wind shift and widespread rain suppressing maximum temperatures in Wellington on September 7.**
Persistent El Niño-driven westerlies have recently transitioned, with MetService and international runs showing southeast to southerly flow arriving overnight, limiting daytime warming under thick cloud and precipitation. This setup favors highs of 12–13 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, while reducing the chance of reaching 14 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 12–14 °C provide context, but the immediate synoptic pattern and forecast timing introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,127Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official guidance and model consensus point to a southerly wind shift and widespread rain suppressing maximum temperatures in Wellington on September 7.** Persistent El Niño-driven westerlies have recently transitioned, with MetService and international runs showing southeast to southerly flow arriving overnight, limiting daytime warming under thick cloud and precipitation. This setup favors highs of 12–13 °C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, while reducing the chance of reaching 14 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 12–14 °C provide context, but the immediate synoptic pattern and forecast timing introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the temperature envelope ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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