Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Wuhan on August 12, shaped by moderating monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow spread has produced tightly clustered trader probabilities, with 29°C edging ahead at 30.5% amid uncertainty over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shifts in steering winds. August climatology shows typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days have trended cooler with frequent thunderstorms, keeping surface maxima suppressed. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer conditions allow brief spikes toward 31°C or sustained overcast holds values near the current consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 12 de agosto?
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
24%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
6%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 29%
30°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
26°C or below
$476 Vol.
4%
27°C
$489 Vol.
8%
28°C
$2,878 Vol.
17%
29°C
$540 Vol.
29%
30°C
$99 Vol.
24%
31°C
$38 Vol.
20%
32°C
$229 Vol.
6%
33°C
$10 Vol.
6%
34°C
$12 Vol.
5%
35°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Wuhan on August 12, shaped by moderating monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow spread has produced tightly clustered trader probabilities, with 29°C edging ahead at 30.5% amid uncertainty over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shifts in steering winds. August climatology shows typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days have trended cooler with frequent thunderstorms, keeping surface maxima suppressed. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer conditions allow brief spikes toward 31°C or sustained overcast holds values near the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$4,858Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Wuhan on August 12, shaped by moderating monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow spread has produced tightly clustered trader probabilities, with 29°C edging ahead at 30.5% amid uncertainty over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shifts in steering winds. August climatology shows typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days have trended cooler with frequent thunderstorms, keeping surface maxima suppressed. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer conditions allow brief spikes toward 31°C or sustained overcast holds values near the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,858Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Wuhan on August 12, shaped by moderating monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This narrow spread has produced tightly clustered trader probabilities, with 29°C edging ahead at 30.5% amid uncertainty over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shifts in steering winds. August climatology shows typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days have trended cooler with frequent thunderstorms, keeping surface maxima suppressed. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer conditions allow brief spikes toward 31°C or sustained overcast holds values near the current consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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