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icon for Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart

icon for Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart
Política·Mayoral

Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart

Ryan Posselt 47%

Harvey Lennon 46%

Louise Bloomfield 45%

John Kelly 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ryan Posselt 47%

Harvey Lennon 46%

Louise Bloomfield 45%

John Kelly 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 Vol.

22%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, with no incumbent seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, has produced a tight field among sitting councillors. Ryan Posselt and Louise Bloomfield lead at 46% each in current pricing, followed closely by Harvey Lennon, while lower-priced names such as John Kelly, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta and Marti Zucco reflect broader interest from the current chamber. Nominations open in early September, leaving the final candidate list and any late entries as near-term variables. Council dynamics, including reported internal tensions and recent procedural disputes, alongside voter priorities on rates, transport, heritage preservation and financial management, continue to shape positioning ahead of compulsory postal voting administered by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, with no incumbent seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, has produced a tight field among sitting councillors. Ryan Posselt and Louise Bloomfield lead at 46% each in current pricing, followed closely by Harvey Lennon, while lower-priced names such as John Kelly, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta and Marti Zucco reflect broader interest from the current chamber. Nominations open in early September, leaving the final candidate list and any late entries as near-term variables. Council dynamics, including reported internal tensions and recent procedural disputes, alongside voter priorities on rates, transport, heritage preservation and financial management, continue to shape positioning ahead of compulsory postal voting administered by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
28 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ryan Posselt" con 47%, seguido de "Harvey Lennon" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" es "Ryan Posselt" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Harvey Lennon" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a alcalde de Hobart" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.