Recent June CPI data, featuring a 0.4% monthly headline decline driven by sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, set a low base that positions July for potential rebound. Persistent shelter costs, wage-supported services inflation, and early tariff pass-through into goods continue to underpin expectations for a positive monthly print. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes of 0.0% or higher, reflecting trader assessment of these sticky components amid a Federal Reserve funds rate held at 3.50–3.75%. Recent consumer inflation expectations rising to 3.7% further embed caution against further downside surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≥0,1% 67%
0,0 % 25%
-0,1% 4.8%
≤-0,7% <1%
$140,752 Vol.
$140,752 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
1%
-0,6%
<1%
-0,5%
<1%
-0,4%
<1%
-0,3%
<1%
-0,2%
<1%
-0,1%
5%
0,0 %
25%
≥0,1%
67%
≥0,1% 67%
0,0 % 25%
-0,1% 4.8%
≤-0,7% <1%
$140,752 Vol.
$140,752 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤-0,7%
$8,969 Vol.
1%
-0,6%
$5,778 Vol.
<1%
-0,5%
$5,496 Vol.
<1%
-0,4%
$5,435 Vol.
<1%
-0,3%
$5,743 Vol.
<1%
-0,2%
$5,914 Vol.
<1%
-0,1%
$11,708 Vol.
5%
0,0 %
$27,906 Vol.
25%
≥0,1%
$63,803 Vol.
67%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, featuring a 0.4% monthly headline decline driven by sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, set a low base that positions July for potential rebound. Persistent shelter costs, wage-supported services inflation, and early tariff pass-through into goods continue to underpin expectations for a positive monthly print. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes of 0.0% or higher, reflecting trader assessment of these sticky components amid a Federal Reserve funds rate held at 3.50–3.75%. Recent consumer inflation expectations rising to 3.7% further embed caution against further downside surprises.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Volumen
$140,752Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, featuring a 0.4% monthly headline decline driven by sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, set a low base that positions July for potential rebound. Persistent shelter costs, wage-supported services inflation, and early tariff pass-through into goods continue to underpin expectations for a positive monthly print. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes of 0.0% or higher, reflecting trader assessment of these sticky components amid a Federal Reserve funds rate held at 3.50–3.75%. Recent consumer inflation expectations rising to 3.7% further embed caution against further downside surprises.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$140,752Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data, featuring a 0.4% monthly headline decline driven by sharply lower energy prices following the US-Iran ceasefire, set a low base that positions July for potential rebound. Persistent shelter costs, wage-supported services inflation, and early tariff pass-through into goods continue to underpin expectations for a positive monthly print. With the July CPI release scheduled for August 12, market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes of 0.0% or higher, reflecting trader assessment of these sticky components amid a Federal Reserve funds rate held at 3.50–3.75%. Recent consumer inflation expectations rising to 3.7% further embed caution against further downside surprises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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