Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe that is limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures across the Netherlands. This setup underpins the market’s leading 47.5% implied probability for an 18°C or higher low on September 17, well above the 11–13°C climatological average for mid-September in Amsterdam. Limited cold-air advection from the North Sea and weak winds are the dominant factors keeping overnight readings mild. Shorter-range guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be watched closely over the next 48 hours for any adjustments to the temperature profile. Sub-10°C outcomes remain improbable given current model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 17 de septiembre?
18°C o más 75%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
2%
9°C
24%
10°C
24%
11°C
21%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
39%
15°C
36%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C o más
75%
18°C o más 75%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
16°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
36%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C o más
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe that is limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures across the Netherlands. This setup underpins the market’s leading 47.5% implied probability for an 18°C or higher low on September 17, well above the 11–13°C climatological average for mid-September in Amsterdam. Limited cold-air advection from the North Sea and weak winds are the dominant factors keeping overnight readings mild. Shorter-range guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be watched closely over the next 48 hours for any adjustments to the temperature profile. Sub-10°C outcomes remain improbable given current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe that is limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures across the Netherlands. This setup underpins the market’s leading 47.5% implied probability for an 18°C or higher low on September 17, well above the 11–13°C climatological average for mid-September in Amsterdam. Limited cold-air advection from the North Sea and weak winds are the dominant factors keeping overnight readings mild. Shorter-range guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be watched closely over the next 48 hours for any adjustments to the temperature profile. Sub-10°C outcomes remain improbable given current model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
17 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe that is limiting nocturnal cooling and supporting elevated minimum temperatures across the Netherlands. This setup underpins the market’s leading 47.5% implied probability for an 18°C or higher low on September 17, well above the 11–13°C climatological average for mid-September in Amsterdam. Limited cold-air advection from the North Sea and weak winds are the dominant factors keeping overnight readings mild. Shorter-range guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute will be watched closely over the next 48 hours for any adjustments to the temperature profile. Sub-10°C outcomes remain improbable given current model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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