Recent forecast runs from models including GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering near 10–12°C for Amsterdam’s September 24 minimum. High pressure and a post-frontal air mass have replaced earlier mild southwest flow, allowing temperatures to fall close to the seasonal average low of roughly 10°C. Dew-point values near 9–11°C and light winds limit further drops, while any increase in low cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 12°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 24 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 24 de septiembre?
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
7°C o menos
2%
8°C
13%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
30%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C o más
2%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 sep 2026
7°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$131 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from models including GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering near 10–12°C for Amsterdam’s September 24 minimum. High pressure and a post-frontal air mass have replaced earlier mild southwest flow, allowing temperatures to fall close to the seasonal average low of roughly 10°C. Dew-point values near 9–11°C and light winds limit further drops, while any increase in low cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 12°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$131Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from models including GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering near 10–12°C for Amsterdam’s September 24 minimum. High pressure and a post-frontal air mass have replaced earlier mild southwest flow, allowing temperatures to fall close to the seasonal average low of roughly 10°C. Dew-point values near 9–11°C and light winds limit further drops, while any increase in low cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 12°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$131Fecha de finalización
24 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from models including GFS and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly to mostly clear skies and light northwest winds as the main driver behind market-implied odds clustering near 10–12°C for Amsterdam’s September 24 minimum. High pressure and a post-frontal air mass have replaced earlier mild southwest flow, allowing temperatures to fall close to the seasonal average low of roughly 10°C. Dew-point values near 9–11°C and light winds limit further drops, while any increase in low cloud cover or wind shift could keep readings closer to 12°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through the night will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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