**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 8 most likely between 13–16°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** A southwest flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to bring increasing cloud cover, showers, and winds of 10–15 mph, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show overnight lows near 14°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and high humidity, consistent with the historical September average low of 11.5°C but moderated by the mild airmass. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with traders weighing slight variations in timing of rain and wind strength that could push the minimum a degree or two either way before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 8 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 8 de septiembre?
14°C 50%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
13°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
10°C o menos
17%
11°C
8%
12°C
23%
13°C
37%
14°C
50%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
21%
18°C
19%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
15%
14°C 50%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
13°C 37%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C o más
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 8 most likely between 13–16°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** A southwest flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to bring increasing cloud cover, showers, and winds of 10–15 mph, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show overnight lows near 14°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and high humidity, consistent with the historical September average low of 11.5°C but moderated by the mild airmass. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with traders weighing slight variations in timing of rain and wind strength that could push the minimum a degree or two either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 8 most likely between 13–16°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** A southwest flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to bring increasing cloud cover, showers, and winds of 10–15 mph, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show overnight lows near 14°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and high humidity, consistent with the historical September average low of 11.5°C but moderated by the mild airmass. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with traders weighing slight variations in timing of rain and wind strength that could push the minimum a degree or two either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 8 most likely between 13–16°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes.** A southwest flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system is expected to bring increasing cloud cover, showers, and winds of 10–15 mph, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS show overnight lows near 14°C amid dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and high humidity, consistent with the historical September average low of 11.5°C but moderated by the mild airmass. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, with traders weighing slight variations in timing of rain and wind strength that could push the minimum a degree or two either way before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes