Latest National Weather Service guidance points to an overnight low of 64–67°F across New York City under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate dew points near 50–55°F, supporting the market’s strong preference for 68–69°F at 48% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling beneath a weak high-pressure ridge, with minimal cloud cover and calm boundary-layer mixing preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA has held steady near this range, consistent with Central Park climatology showing average lows around 64°F and recent nights near 63–66°F. Updated forecast discussions and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 8 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 8 de septiembre?
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 14%
64-65°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
44%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74 °F o más
<1%
68-69°F 31%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 14%
64-65°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 sep 2026
55°F o menos
$578 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$161 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$101 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$95 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$309 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$586 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$798 Vol.
30%
68-69°F
$1,295 Vol.
44%
70-71°F
$121 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$186 Vol.
1%
74 °F o más
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to an overnight low of 64–67°F across New York City under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate dew points near 50–55°F, supporting the market’s strong preference for 68–69°F at 48% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling beneath a weak high-pressure ridge, with minimal cloud cover and calm boundary-layer mixing preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA has held steady near this range, consistent with Central Park climatology showing average lows around 64°F and recent nights near 63–66°F. Updated forecast discussions and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$4,511Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance points to an overnight low of 64–67°F across New York City under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate dew points near 50–55°F, supporting the market’s strong preference for 68–69°F at 48% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling beneath a weak high-pressure ridge, with minimal cloud cover and calm boundary-layer mixing preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA has held steady near this range, consistent with Central Park climatology showing average lows around 64°F and recent nights near 63–66°F. Updated forecast discussions and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,511Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance points to an overnight low of 64–67°F across New York City under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderate dew points near 50–55°F, supporting the market’s strong preference for 68–69°F at 48% implied probability. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling beneath a weak high-pressure ridge, with minimal cloud cover and calm boundary-layer mixing preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus from NOAA has held steady near this range, consistent with Central Park climatology showing average lows around 64°F and recent nights near 63–66°F. Updated forecast discussions and real-time observations through the early morning hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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