**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 23–24°C (combined ~95% implied probability), reflecting current official forecasts and typical September monsoon conditions.** PAGASA reports a Metro Manila temperature range of 24–30°C today amid ongoing southwesterly monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure area, with reduced but still-present cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple models and local observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C (75–79°F), consistent with September climatology where average daily minima hover around 25–26°C due to high humidity (often 90%+), persistent cloudiness, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. The market's tight clustering around 23–24°C aligns with these data, as traders weigh the slim chance of slightly deeper cooling under lingering clouds versus the more likely stabilization near the forecast floor. No major typhoon or anomalous cold surge has altered the pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term observational updates and the absence of extreme deviations from seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 10 de septiembre?
23°C 41%
20°C o menos 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
$1,627 Vol.
$1,627 Vol.
10 sep 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
41%
24°C
54%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
23°C 41%
20°C o menos 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
$1,627 Vol.
$1,627 Vol.
10 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$65 Vol.
1%
21°C
$107 Vol.
1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
41%
24°C
$26 Vol.
54%
25°C
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 23–24°C (combined ~95% implied probability), reflecting current official forecasts and typical September monsoon conditions.**
PAGASA reports a Metro Manila temperature range of 24–30°C today amid ongoing southwesterly monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure area, with reduced but still-present cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple models and local observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C (75–79°F), consistent with September climatology where average daily minima hover around 25–26°C due to high humidity (often 90%+), persistent cloudiness, and light winds that limit radiative cooling.
The market's tight clustering around 23–24°C aligns with these data, as traders weigh the slim chance of slightly deeper cooling under lingering clouds versus the more likely stabilization near the forecast floor. No major typhoon or anomalous cold surge has altered the pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term observational updates and the absence of extreme deviations from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,627Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 23–24°C (combined ~95% implied probability), reflecting current official forecasts and typical September monsoon conditions.**
PAGASA reports a Metro Manila temperature range of 24–30°C today amid ongoing southwesterly monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure area, with reduced but still-present cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple models and local observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C (75–79°F), consistent with September climatology where average daily minima hover around 25–26°C due to high humidity (often 90%+), persistent cloudiness, and light winds that limit radiative cooling.
The market's tight clustering around 23–24°C aligns with these data, as traders weigh the slim chance of slightly deeper cooling under lingering clouds versus the more likely stabilization near the forecast floor. No major typhoon or anomalous cold surge has altered the pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term observational updates and the absence of extreme deviations from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,627Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers overwhelmingly on 23–24°C (combined ~95% implied probability), reflecting current official forecasts and typical September monsoon conditions.** PAGASA reports a Metro Manila temperature range of 24–30°C today amid ongoing southwesterly monsoon flow and a distant low-pressure area, with reduced but still-present cloud cover and scattered showers. Multiple models and local observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 24–26°C (75–79°F), consistent with September climatology where average daily minima hover around 25–26°C due to high humidity (often 90%+), persistent cloudiness, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. The market's tight clustering around 23–24°C aligns with these data, as traders weigh the slim chance of slightly deeper cooling under lingering clouds versus the more likely stabilization near the forecast floor. No major typhoon or anomalous cold surge has altered the pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term observational updates and the absence of extreme deviations from seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes