Current forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 10, with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where radiative cooling under light winds produces minimums in that range rather than extremes. The closely matched market odds for 27°C-or-higher versus 17°C-or-below, alongside elevated probabilities around 20–22°C, reflect residual uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates driven by variable wind speeds and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 10 de septiembre?
27°C o más 85%
17°C o menos 78%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
17°C o menos
78%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
23%
22°C
24%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C o más
85%
27°C o más 85%
17°C o menos 78%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$10 Vol.
78%
18°C
$10 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$10 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$30 Vol.
40%
27°C o más
$50 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 10, with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where radiative cooling under light winds produces minimums in that range rather than extremes. The closely matched market odds for 27°C-or-higher versus 17°C-or-below, alongside elevated probabilities around 20–22°C, reflect residual uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates driven by variable wind speeds and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$111Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 10, with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where radiative cooling under light winds produces minimums in that range rather than extremes. The closely matched market odds for 27°C-or-higher versus 17°C-or-below, alongside elevated probabilities around 20–22°C, reflect residual uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates driven by variable wind speeds and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$111Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Turkish meteorological services and global ensembles indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 10, with clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where radiative cooling under light winds produces minimums in that range rather than extremes. The closely matched market odds for 27°C-or-higher versus 17°C-or-below, alongside elevated probabilities around 20–22°C, reflect residual uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates driven by variable wind speeds and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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