Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models show a high of 23–24 °C in Tokyo on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a frontal system that is suppressing daytime heating. These conditions depart from typical early-September climatology near 28–29 °C and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (36.5 %) and 25 °C (23.0 %), followed by 23 °C (15.5 %). Model consensus remains tight on the cool, wet pattern through the weekend, though small timing shifts in rainfall or wind could alter the precise daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing this near-term forecast stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 6 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 6 de septiembre?
24°C 37%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
19°C o menos
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
26%
26°C
9%
27°C
7%
28°C
8%
29°C o más
3%
24°C 37%
25°C 26%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 sep 2026
19°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$61 Vol.
3%
22°C
$6 Vol.
5%
23°C
$12 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C
$15 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$8 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C o más
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models show a high of 23–24 °C in Tokyo on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a frontal system that is suppressing daytime heating. These conditions depart from typical early-September climatology near 28–29 °C and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (36.5 %) and 25 °C (23.0 %), followed by 23 °C (15.5 %). Model consensus remains tight on the cool, wet pattern through the weekend, though small timing shifts in rainfall or wind could alter the precise daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing this near-term forecast stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$102Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models show a high of 23–24 °C in Tokyo on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a frontal system that is suppressing daytime heating. These conditions depart from typical early-September climatology near 28–29 °C and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (36.5 %) and 25 °C (23.0 %), followed by 23 °C (15.5 %). Model consensus remains tight on the cool, wet pattern through the weekend, though small timing shifts in rainfall or wind could alter the precise daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing this near-term forecast stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$102Fecha de finalización
6 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and multiple models show a high of 23–24 °C in Tokyo on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a frontal system that is suppressing daytime heating. These conditions depart from typical early-September climatology near 28–29 °C and align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 24 °C (36.5 %) and 25 °C (23.0 %), followed by 23 °C (15.5 %). Model consensus remains tight on the cool, wet pattern through the weekend, though small timing shifts in rainfall or wind could alter the precise daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to be pricing this near-term forecast stability while acknowledging residual uncertainty in the final observed peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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